Diceman Sayeth #9

Humanity, since it first figured out how to figure things out, has been enveloped in an endless search for the truth.

Its a pretty difficult thing to grasp once you’ve thought about it.

If you were to attempt to define it… it would probably start like this…

“Truth: that which is true or in accordance with fact or reality.” (Google)

Even the smart fellows at google use the word “true” when defining “truth”. There is not really a good way to define it is there?
The main difficulty (and endless nature) of the pursuit of truth is thus, the more one thinks about it, the harder it is to define.

Definitions and “truth” is a construction of the thinking human. An animals, (lets say a duck’s) definition of truth is thus “I exist and what I do is truth”. There being no facts or fictions, no perspectives to consider, no lies or dishonesty for the duck means that it’s truth is defined by its existence. Perception of reality can define truth in a way, BUT…

Humans, however, like to make things difficult.

Lets re-look a that definition from google and break it down a bit, and I pose questions for your own thoughts only.

“That which is true”

  • How do we know its true?
  • Who’s truth is it?
  • How long is it the true for?

“in accordance with fact”

  • Solid facts can eventually be proven false. Whilst a fact may indeed by truth today, tomorrow it may become just another “alternative theory”. The whole pursuit of truth from multiple methodology’s is to seek to find the truth of even well established facts. It was once fact that there were nine planets in the solar system. Then this was proven incorrect.
  • Does this fact exist only because of ignorance to the truth. Are the two really connected?

“In accordance with… reality”

  • Reality, is but the perception gained from utilizing our senses to interpret the world around us. My reality is that I can see the 7 colors of the rainbow, a color blind person see’s less, an machine can see more (ultra violet or what-have you). If truth is bound by reality, and my reality is restricted by my perception of it, how do I know whats true?
  • What is we are all just brains in a jar? (Not my belief, but definitely look up that theory, its at least a good read)

So what does this all mean?

Shall we continue to pursue truth, to uncover the facts, to broaden our horizons and gain further insight into the workings of the world?

This diceman hopes so.

 

Stay savvy

~Dicemaned

 

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Bus thoughts (diceman sayeth travel edition)

There is no such thing as a mistake, every decision… whether for ill or good, has become the foundation of your character today.

If you arent happy with who you are today, then your past has allowed you to see that, and the now is the time to make the changes you want… only you can do it and as long as you truly desire change, you can make it happen.

-dicemaned

Diceman sayeth #8

What is the nature of selfishness?

Is it a bad thing?

No

or at least, contextually it is a good thing.

 

A wise man once said, “to love others thou must first love thyself“. While this can be interpreted in many ways (from the mundane, superficial, and downright naughty) In this context to choose to interpret it as thus…

Without understanding, caring or ensuring your own survival, there is no way you can possible hope to care for, help or love anyone else.

Is it selfish to ensure you can eat? That you don’t live in a cardboard box? Is it selfish to live in a larger house then others?

If you answered yes to that last question then let me ask you, in your house… do you have physical space to seat or sleep another human being? If you do, why don’t you house someone off the streets? Is it because you value your own privacy, your space, your families safety?

Getting a higher paid job allows you to pay more taxes, more money in the economy, to help those who are struggling. Now, this is not to say that doing everything for just yourself is the right thing to do, understanding the group dynamic and how your actions influence others is important. Here is another quote for you from A beautiful mind.

Nash: If we all go for the blonde and block each other, not a single one of us is going to get her. So then we go for her friends, but they will all give us the cold shoulder because no on likes to be second choice. But what if none of us goes for the blonde? We won’t get in each other’s way and we won’t insult the other girls. It’s the only way to win. It’s the only way we all get laid.

Do whats best for yourself and the group. A simple enough concept.

Makes sure you can survive so the group can survive.

Have that chocolate croissant.

 

…Keep on keeping on

~Dicemaned

Diceman sayeth #7

In a world so connected how is it that each human can be more distant then ever before?

Increased social anxiety, increased stress, every media image one of extremes with the hate and hero’s of the screen reminding us that the new normal is something to be immersed in rather then experienced.

Where is the closeness of a neighbour borrowing a cup of sugar?

I asked my neighbour for sugar, and he said “not interested”… do I look like a door-to-door salesman? (Well maybe, probably shouldn’t wear a grey suit and blue tie when asking for sugar from strangers.)

Or is all of this just me… rambling from in my house on a cold windy winters day, lamenting at the difference in expectations of a global society and the wholesomeness of the past?

Perhaps the dice will tell.

 

~Dicemaned

 

Diceman sayeth #6

On this great plane we dwell lies a marvelous set of scales. Maintaining the balance between the vastness of nature and the impact of human activity. Are we the pillar holding it up or are we the child looking to wreck and tip it over?

I’d like to hope after 200,000 years we’d be past infancy, but if a child plays at being an adult, do we take it seriously?

~dicemaned

Quote?

Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, your furries warm all year round, your participating ribboned youth, your reclusive overwatcher, your anime fixated cosplayer, your arrogant verbose veganite, your anxiety driven under achiever, your leftish rightist, your down-on-your luck podcaster, your overlisting writers, the wretched refuse of your teeming shore…

or lake,field,plateau or forest. For in inclusive illumination the few and far shall find no offense, nor shall no fence be laid between them.

(Updated plaque, 2020)

Random page thesaurus prompt: thesaurus

Kid you not that is what word I got for my prompt.

For reference. I retrieve these prompts by turning my head, fanning out the pages, then pointing my finger (whilst still turned away) at a point on that page, and picking that word (I also allow myself to pick synonym of the word I point at, but that’s neither here nor there). The odds of getting the word thesaurus from a thesaurus (not considering human factors or subconscious factors) is 0.001111%… (a rough estimate, there being “over 90,000” entries, so (1/90000) X 100.

Finding this to be an invaluable coincidence I thought today I might discuss probability.

The thing with probability is, it doesn’t essentially matter (contextually) for a number of reasons.


But first

Here is the Oxford definition for probability

  • “The quality or state of being probable; the extent to which something is likely to happen or be the case.”
  •  “A probable or the most probable event.”
  • Mathematics: The extent to which an event is likely to occur, measured by the ratio of the favourable cases to the whole number of cases possible”

 

So basically, it gives the chances of an event occurring.

Now this can shape your decision making process in some ways, If you know something will work 95% of the time, you’ll probably use it. This doesn’t mean that it will always work, and the 5% failure rate still occurs. This is especially relevant for something like weather.

There is a 30% chance of rain today. However, there are only two real outcomes that can occur, it rains or it doesn’t. Whether (weather) or not its 30% or 90% doesn’t change those two outcomes.

Now, this isn’t to say that the generation of probability numbers are useless, nor that you should ignore them. Don’t go betting on just 00 when you roulette, it won’t go well (but sometimes it might?). But for my “ironic and invaluable” coincidence of getting “thesaurus” as my prompt, even though there is only a 0.00111%… chance of it happening, the same can be said for any other word it could of picked.

So.. to put numbers to the reasons why probability doesn’t matter.

1: Humans experience the things around them in the present and digest it from a position of it having already happened. So an event having a 1% chance of happening that happens doesn’t mean squat to the person it happened to.

2: Decisions are generally made from an outcome based approach, rather then a probability approach. For example, millions of citizens (in many countries) all put their hard earned income into buying lottery tickets. In terms of the odds, the chances of winning a jackpot (in say, the Saturday night lotto in Australia) are 1.2277380239989883e-5% (this is the best jackpot odds in Australia too), that number is SUPER small, ridiculously miniature. Based on this information, no-one would ever buy any tickets if they thought of the probability of it, but the outcome -instant millionaire- tempts the masses every week.

3. Finally, just because something can happen, doesn’t mean it will. While its true the average for coin flips is (probability wise) half heads / half tails, doesn’t mean that I can’t flip 100 tails in a row.

 

In saying all this, being a “writing with probability” blog, I should also stipulate that I also love probability. Despite the bulk of this blog-post being fairly negative towards it, I use some means of measuring chance every day…with just a roll of the die.

Ask me more!

~Dicemaned